The FTSE, The future, The... whatever (FTSE:UKX)
A weekend with some truly surprising results. Apparently the West bombed somewhere without Russia intervening. Perhaps it was the Norfolk Broads, thus unnoticed by the media. More importantly, Formula 1 became interesting in China!
Since the start of April, the markets have pushed steadily upward, actually managing to give some hope for the future - this despite lurid newspaper headlines and drooling TV commentary. We've got a new number worthy of note on the and it's at 7,293 points.
Apparently, should the FTSE manage above this point, ideally closing a session above, then a cycle to an initial 7,404 points should commence. Secondary, if bettered, staggers along at around 7,575 points. Stop can be placed below red on the chart, currently at 7,150 points.
One thing bothering us about all this optimism came from some share movements during the trading session on Friday.
Sometimes it appears deliberate efforts are employed to slow things down and there's little doubt this behaviour was present amongst some banking shares.
Genuinely, it makes us speculate whether the market is nervous about blind growth against a background of military threats. Should this be the case, we'd suggest some caution before blithely aiming for our secondary upward targets.
Then again, the market loves fear, especially fears which prove groundless.
What happens should 7,150 break?
An initial relaxation to 7,110 makes some visual sense. Secondary, if broken, comes along at around 7,000 points where we'd hope for a real bounce as the consequences below are quite grotty. We have mentioned 6,800 a few times previously.
Source: interactive investor Past performance is not a guide to future performance
Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.
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