Games Workshop and the odds of a return to highs

Down around 20% from the peak in June, independent analyst Alistair Strang has another look at the shares following success with his previous call.

15th September 2026 06:58

by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets

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A member of staff paints a Games Workshop figure

In full disclosure, we don’t “get” Games Workshop Group (LSE:GAW) and their focus on Warhammer and associated products. However, we certainly awarded ourselves a pat on the back from our previous review of the shares.

We’d proposed a target level just over £22 and the share price obliged. Unfortunately, it has failed to close above our 22,128p target, paying a deadly price in the months since. The situation now exists where some trouble may be ahead.

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Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.

From an immediate perspective, it seems trades below 17,060 should trigger reversal to an initial 16,800p. Our longer-term secondary, if broken, calculates with a bottom down at an eventual 14,972p and a potential rebound. We have reasons to be reticent about price reversals on the current cycle, suspecting the market intends some surprise gains.

Unfortunately, the share price needs to exceed 18,600p to suggest gains are about to kick off, giving an initial target around 22,239p with our secondary, if beaten, at 23,994p.

Achieving such target levels shall be regarded as significant, allowing us to speculate a long-term influence is being exerted from 26,816p!

Who knows, perhaps there’s something to Warhammer?

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Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.

Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.

Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang or Interactive Investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea. 

These articles are provided for information purposes only.  Occasionally, an opinion about whether to buy or sell a specific investment may be provided by third parties.  The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product, or to adopt any investment strategy as it is not provided based on an assessment of your investing knowledge and experience, your financial situation or your investment objectives. The value of your investments, and the income derived from them, may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.

Full performance can be found on the company or index summary page on the interactive investor website. Simply click on the company's or index name highlighted in the article.

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