Over the course of the quarter, over 80% of the funds produced a double-digit return.
Out of the 258 funds in the Rated Funds universe, just two produced a negative return in the second quarter of 2020.
Performance among most funds looked strong. Over the course of the quarter, over 80% of the funds produced a double-digit return. Meanwhile, roughly 30% produced a return of 20% of higher and 9% returned investors over 30%.
Of course, those figures must be put into some context. The quarter being measured encompassed the months April, May and June, almost exactly aligning with the strong recovery markets staged following the February and March market sell-off. Readers will recall that towards the end of February markets around the world started to wobble as fears over Covid-19 gathered pace. By mid-March fear had risen further and markets were in full-on meltdown mode, with several indices staging their largest one day losses in history.
However, most markets around the world bottomed out by the end of March. The response from the US’s central bank, the Federal Reserve, was robust and decisive. Other central banks and governments also provided well-received support. This seemed to draw a line under market weakness, setting the stage for the strong rebound that lifted our Rated Funds.
Measured from the start of the year to 24 July, these performance figures are slightly less impressive. Compared to a total of just two funds with a negative return over the quarter, around 55% of funds still have a negative year-to-date return. However, 165 of funds had a year-to-date return in the double digits and 5% of funds posted returns of 20% or more.
In terms of the best performing fund over the quarter, Ninety One Global Gold tops the charts. Previously known as Investec Global Gold, the fund has provided a return of 54.6% over the three-month period. The fund’s year-to-date performance is also impressive, with returns of over 49%.
Driving these returns has been the tremendous rise in gold prices since the start of the year. The price of the metal has principally been driven by investors looking for a safe haven. However, also important has been continued low (and in some cases negative) rates, increasing gold’s relative attractiveness compared to bonds. On top of that, the continued strength of the dollar (another expression of market flight to safety) has kept prices up.
All that has benefited the fund, with manager George Cheveley investing primarily in the shares of companies involved in gold mining worldwide. While the fund can also invest a third of assets in companies involved in the mining of other metals and minerals, as at the end of 2019 the fund had 83% of its assets in gold, with 13% in silver (the fund’s gold allocation has since risen to 94%, according to its June 2020 factsheet).
BlackRock World Mining was another beneficiary of the surge in gold prices. Managed by Evy Hambro and Olivia Markham, the trust has returned over 40% over the three-month period. The trust invests in mining shares, giving it a roughly 30% exposure to gold.
Over the three-month period, most equity markets saw strong rebounds. However, some of the best performers have been tech companies, often those listed in the United States. A consensus appeared to form among markets that the adoption and importance of technology and e-commerce companies would accelerate due to people changing their habits in response to coronavirus.
As a result, it should come as no surprise that Baillie Gifford American has posted the second strongest three month returns. Managed by Gary Robinson, the fund returned 51.8% over the three-month period. However, that was not just thanks to the market rebounding from a low base after the March crash; measured year-to-date to 24 July, the fund has returned over 65%.
The fund’s largest holding is e-commerce giant Amazon, an obvious beneficiary of people being forced to stay home. On top of that the fund has had exposure to smaller companies that have benefited from the virus, such as virtual doctor company Teladoc as well as the work-from-home essential Zoom.
Other tech-focused funds have been among the top performers. Another Baillie Gifford fund, Edinburgh Worldwide was third on the list with a three month return of 44.8%.
Scottish Mortgage, also a Baillie Gifford-managed trust, posted strong performance with three month returns at 43.3%. As well as holding Amazon, Scottish Mortgage has holdings in Chinese tech giants Alibaba and Tencent. Also boosting returns has been the trust’s large holding in Tesla, which saw its share price roughly double over the three-month period. Another top performer was Allianz Technology Trust. Managed by Walter Price, the trust returned 32% over the three-month period.
Alongside many tech companies having business models suited to the pandemic and resulting lockdown, such businesses also benefited from central banks lowering interest rates in response to the virus. Being “growth” companies, investors buy them with the expectation of strong future earnings. Those future earnings are judged to be worth more than lower present interest rates are, boosting the present price investors are prepared to pay for shares.
|Name||3 month to end June %|
|Ninety One Global Gold||54.62|
|Baillie Gifford American||51.85|
|Edinburgh Worldwide IT||44.84|
|Scottish Mortgage IT||43.34|
|BlackRock World Mining IT||40.82|
|TR European Growth IT||37.24|
|JP Morgan US Smaller Companies IT||37.07|
|Baillie Gifford Shin Nippon IT||36.74|
|Montanaro European Smaller Companies IT||35.8|
|Fidelity Japan IT||33.58|
|Allianz Technology IT||32.8|
|Brown Advisory US Smaller Companies||32.15|
|ASI Global Smaller Companies||31.94|
|Baillie Gifford European||31.7|
|Polar Capital Biotechnology||31.3|
|Aberdeen Standard Asia Focus IT||31.08|
|Jupiter International Financials||30.92|
|Legg Mason IF Japan Equity||30.85|
|T. Rowe Price Global Focused Growth Equity||30.69|
|Tritax Big Box Reit IT||30.66|
The worst performer was BMO Commercial Property, with a three-month return of -15.4%. Year-to-date the fund has lost even more, down -50.8%.
The only other fund with a negative three-month return was Ardevora UK Equity, losing investors 1.3%. The trust had initially had a strong first quarter but has since seen a deterioration in its performance. This is not the first time this long/short fund has provided underperformance. In 2018 the fund suffered losses and failed to beat its benchmark, the MSCI UK Investable Market index, over all notable time periods.
Temple Bar saw positive albeit poor performance, with a gain of just 2.3%. Temple Bar’s manager, Alistair Mundy, recently took a leave of absence due to health reasons (not related to coronavirus).
Also among the worst ten performers was Invesco Perpetual UK Smaller Companies IT, which returned just over 3%.
In general UK funds and trusts appeared to perform poorly. The UK has suffered from a slower recovery than some other countries due its relative reliance on services compared to manufacturing. The service sector is harder to get going again during a pandemic.
|Name||3 month to end June %|
|BMO Commercial Property IT||-15.44|
|Ardevora UK Equity||-1.27|
|iShares £ Ultrashort Bond ETF GBP||0.66|
|iShares Global Govt Bond UCITS ETF||1.69|
|Vanguard Global Bond Index Hedged GBP||2.27|
|Temple Bar IT||2.28|
|Vanguard UK Government Bond Index||2.83|
|Invesco Perpetual UK Smaller Companies IT||3.04|
|Pimco GIS Global Bond ESG Institutional Hdgd||3.74|
|iShares UK Property UCITS ETF||4.55|
This article was originally published in our sister magazine Money Observer, which ceased publication in August 2020.
These articles are provided for information purposes only. Occasionally, an opinion about whether to buy or sell a specific investment may be provided by third parties. The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product, or to adopt any investment strategy as it is not provided based on an assessment of your investing knowledge and experience, your financial situation or your investment objectives. The value of your investments, and the income derived from them, may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.
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