Interactive Investor

Can Barclays shares deliver some Christmas cheer?

This high street lender hit target, then quickly pulled back. Independent analyst Alistair Strang explains what just happened and what could be next.

18th December 2023 07:57

by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets

Share on

Barclays bank branch 600

Barclays (LSE:BARC)' share price movements continue to prove incredibly frustrating. The price has recently performed in accordance with our expectations, effectively achieving our 152p target on Friday 15 December before retreating in utter panic as if aware of ‘the danger’ if it actually exceeded our target level. After all, surely the world will end if a banking share starts to perform logically.

On the subject of logic, we can hope weakness continuing below 146p shall discover an excuse to rebound from 144.2p, but if we’re blunt, there are plenty of reasons to anticipate Barclays delivering some Christmas cheer to the marketplace.

It’s a pity the price didn’t better our 152p target as the implication is of hidden weakness. Any reversal below 144.2p theoretically allows for a visit to 136p, a target level we’re not confident about due to the amount of work employed in forcing the price above Red on the chart. The chart inset shows the effort made during November and December to respect Red, which makes us suspect it is unlikely there are any plans to plunge the share anytime soon.

If our optimism is to be reflected by reality, above 152p should now trigger share price recovery to an initial 157p with secondary, if bettered, at 168p.

The visuals currently indicate a risk of hesitation at the 157p given the level of prior highs, but should 168p be exceeded a further 181p shall be viewed as exerting an influence for the longer term. Unfortunately, such an event would return the share price to the level at which it started 2023, broadcasting the painful fact the entire year has been an utter waste of time.

barc181223.jpg

Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.

These articles are provided for information purposes only.  Occasionally, an opinion about whether to buy or sell a specific investment may be provided by third parties.  The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product, or to adopt any investment strategy as it is not provided based on an assessment of your investing knowledge and experience, your financial situation or your investment objectives. The value of your investments, and the income derived from them, may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.

Full performance can be found on the company or index summary page on the interactive investor website. Simply click on the company's or index name highlighted in the article.

Disclosure

We use a combination of fundamental and technical analysis in forming our view as to the valuation and prospects of an investment. Where relevant we have set out those particular matters we think are important in the above article, but further detail can be found here.

Please note that our article on this investment should not be considered to be a regular publication.

Details of all recommendations issued by ii during the previous 12-month period can be found here.

ii adheres to a strict code of conduct.  Contributors may hold shares or have other interests in companies included in these portfolios, which could create a conflict of interests. Contributors intending to write about any financial instruments in which they have an interest are required to disclose such interest to ii and in the article itself. ii will at all times consider whether such interest impairs the objectivity of the recommendation.

In addition, individuals involved in the production of investment articles are subject to a personal account dealing restriction, which prevents them from placing a transaction in the specified instrument(s) for a period before and for five working days after such publication. This is to avoid personal interests conflicting with the interests of the recipients of those investment articles.

Get more news and expert articles direct to your inbox