Interactive Investor

Can the Dow reach a record high?

The U.S. index has bounced back from December's fall. Our chartist sees where things could go next.

15th April 2019 09:54

by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets

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The U.S. index has bounced back from December's fall. Our chartist sees where things could go next.

The Dow Jones (Dowi:DJI)

There's now a real "problem" with this index as the unlikely number of 30,706 popped up as a viable long-term potential. Additionally, there's an initial target with some hesitation expected at 28,461 points.

We're somewhat sceptical as the calculations are giving a series of new all-time highs for the U.S. index. The final trigger shall come when (or if) the index trades above 26,753 points. Early warnings shall be a closure above 26,430 points. The day high on Friday was at 26,436 points and it closed at 26,412 points.

The Dow requires trade below 25,780 to trash these big picture upward potentials.

We'd some pause for thought when considering the U.S.. The Nasdaq is sitting in a region with the potential of a further 1,000 point growth whereas the S&P only presently looks capable of stumbling in just an additional 50 points at 2,957 points.

Aside from the FTSE 100, similar positive index movements appear to be taking place across Europe.

With ample excuse, the FTSE is proving shambolic but we suspect, the recent hesitation on Brexit, shall allow the UK marketplace to come close to challenging prior highs before a future excuse for reversals. This results in the potential of 7,750 making itself known at some point. The UK needs to drop below 7,250 to spoil such a potential.

Source: TradingView Past performance is not a guide to future performance 

Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.

Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang or Interactive Investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea. 

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