Cost of nursing care due to hit £200,000 for new retirees

Calculations by interactive investor's Alice Guy reveal how much it could cost you.

26th June 2024 15:04

by Alice Guy from interactive investor

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With the cost of care a key battleground in the general election, interactive investor crunches the numbers on how much it could cost to pay for care home costs for two years, both now and in 20 years’ time.

Key points:

  • Care home residents needing nursing care currently pay £135,360 on average for a two-year stay, rising to £201,128 in 20 years, assuming 2% annual inflation – figures based on data from carehome.co.uk
  • Currently, the average single pensioner would have a £53,853 annual shortfall in income if they need nursing care in a care home, based on ONS average pensioner incomes, uprated for inflation
  • A single pensioner retiring at 65 and potentially needing nursing care in residential care home in 20 years would need to set aside around £500 per month for 20 years to afford nursing care for two years at 85, assuming 5% annual investment growth.

Care home residents with assets worth over £23,250 currently fund their own care. But the rules are due to change in October 2025, with some costs capped at £86,000.

However, the cap only applies to personal care costs and not accommodation or other costs, so many care home residents will still be facing a substantial bill and will see their assets depleting rapidly. Residents with assets between £20,000 to £100,000 will have their care home fees subsidised, but in many cases will still end up paying the majority of costs.

Nursing care cost adds to the bill for care home fees because residents require higher levels of care.

Despite rising pensioner incomes, the average pensioner income still falls far short of the amount needed to fund care home fees, so many residents will be forced to sell their homes or other assets. The rules mean that your home may not be counted towards your assets if your partner is still living there.

Someone who is currently 65 years old and retiring, could need around £200,000 to fund two years in a care home with nursing care by the time they reach their mid-80s.

Costs of care

Care home

Nursing care in a care home

Income shortfall for single pensioner in care home

Monthly costs

£4,640

£5,640

Monthly shortfall, £4,487 for nursing care and £3,388 for care home

Costs over 2 years in 2024

£111,360

£135,360

2-year shortfall, £107,707 for nursing care and £83,708 for care home

Costs for 2 years in 20 years

£165,475

£201,138

Average monthly pensioner income in 2024

  • Couple - £2,483
  • Single household - £1,152
  • All - £1,682

Sources: care home fees based on figures from carehome.co.uk, inflation of 2% pa assumed for care home costs in 20 years, income based on ONS pensioner income data, uprated for inflation.

Alice Guy, Head of Pension and Savings, interactive investor, says: “It’s almost impossible to plan for care home costs, which are hugely expensive and very difficult to self-fund for any length of time unless you have extremely substantial assets. Care home fees have soared in recent years and it’s rare to have enough pension income to cover the bulk of the costs.

“Not being able to afford care is one of the biggest worries for retirees, who would love to pass on wealth but sadly could see their plans slip through their fingers. It takes a lifetime to build up wealth, but only a few years of expensive costs to see that wealth rapidly dwindle.

“Paying for care home fees for two years is almost as expensive as buying a home, but it’s much less predictable and the costs come all at once. The average single pensioner would have an enormous £4,487 monthly shortfall in income when it comes to paying for nursing care in a residential care home.

“If you’re planning ahead for retirement, then it’s useful to know more about how much care home fees could cost. The average retiree currently needs around £400,000 to fund a moderately comfortable retirement for 20 years, but that doesn’t include care home fees, which could add up to £200,000 to your costs, depending on the rules when the time comes.

“Someone with a modest wealth could still see their assets dwindle away, even with the new fee cap. It only applies to some of the costs and won’t kick in until you’ve already spent £86,000 on personal care.”

These articles are provided for information purposes only.  Occasionally, an opinion about whether to buy or sell a specific investment may be provided by third parties.  The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product, or to adopt any investment strategy as it is not provided based on an assessment of your investing knowledge and experience, your financial situation or your investment objectives. The value of your investments, and the income derived from them, may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.

Full performance can be found on the company or index summary page on the interactive investor website. Simply click on the company's or index name highlighted in the article.

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