Interactive Investor

Why Barclays shares face very real danger this Christmas

Its shares have had a great run, but Barclays has now reached a key point in its progress.

21st December 2020 09:50

by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets

Share on

Its shares have had a great run, but Barclays has now reached a key point in its progress.

warning sign

Barclays Plc (LSE:BARC) 

"It's beginning to feel a lot like chaos" almost sounds like a song title. With Covid-19 causing the UK's isolation from Europe, only within Britain could things become more stupidly enacted. 

News of the new version of the virus apparently not becoming dangerous until after Xmas, unless you live in Wales, provoked some ridiculous behaviour. 

Here in our bit of Scotland, the usual invasion by grandchildren for the holiday break has been adjusted, thanks to travel within Scotland not being allowed after Xmas day. 

Of course, thrown into this mix has been the failure of the UK and Europe to complete their Brexit talks, the latest health emergency ensuring the political self-imposed deadline was missed on Sunday.

None of this has anything to do with Barclays (LSE:BARC) share price. Or does it?

Our previous review against Barclays three weeks ago gave criteria for the share to boost to 154p, a number which has been completely absent from recent movements. Instead, the price achieved 150p before flopping back to 135p. 

This version of reality has imposed itself across many members of the FTSE 100, the index clearly feeling the indecision broadcast by a UK government seemingly more concerned with headlines rather than substance.

We shall be quite concerned if Barclays (presently trading around 145p) finds an excuse to fall below 137p on the chart (red) as this feels capable of providing reversal to an initial 125p with secondary, if broken, at a bottom hopefully of 116p.

There's a very real danger if the share price finds an excuse to close a session below 116p, sharp reversal to 68p becomes viable.

There is some hope available, the share price needing to trade above 150p to impart the potential of Christmas cheer. 

Above this level, recovery to 161p calculates as possible with secondary, if bettered, a rather more useful 190p.

barc 21 dec

Source: Trends and Targets      Past performance is not a guide to future performance

Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.

Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang or interactive investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea. 

Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.

Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang or Interactive Investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea. 

These articles are provided for information purposes only.  Occasionally, an opinion about whether to buy or sell a specific investment may be provided by third parties.  The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product, or to adopt any investment strategy as it is not provided based on an assessment of your investing knowledge and experience, your financial situation or your investment objectives. The value of your investments, and the income derived from them, may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.

Full performance can be found on the company or index summary page on the interactive investor website. Simply click on the company's or index name highlighted in the article.

Get more news and expert articles direct to your inbox