Multiple arguments favour price recovery, though there are no guarantees.
Our weekly trip to discover which shares are being most heavily traded in Europe brought energy stock E.On (XE:EOAN) to our attention.
A glance at its corporate website revealed a pretty thorough checklist of all the current right-on terms. It mentions diversity, hydrogen, fuel cells, digital, sustainability and of course innovation. The word ‘profitable’ was also mentioned once, a daring departure from the norm. Most corporate entities seem to prefer a web presence where dangerous trigger words like 'profit' are avoided!
Presently trading around €10.50 (£9.05), the share price is starting to show some interesting potentials despite spending most of May trapped in the arms of boring.
The price need only rise above €10.80 for a trip toward an initial €11.29 to look pretty assured.
For some surprising reason, we've multiple calculations all pointing at such an ambition and the story doesn't actually end there.
Our secondary calculation, should €11.29 be exceeded, works out at €13. In fact, it may even be €13.40, thanks to the circled gap on the chart tossing a spanner in the works.
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Yet again, something surprising occurs with this secondary ambition as yet again, we've multiple arguments favouring price recovery to such a level. For this sort of thing to occur once, when reviewing a share price, is pretty unusual and generally indicates a comfortable ‘no-brainer’ expectation of movement to a target level.
We've never experienced this twice, against the same share, both from big picture and near-term calculations. Time will tell, as we've no idea what the numbers are telling us...
We started this piece by complaining that the company’s share price has been pretty boring during May, and the reason appears to be the blue line on the chart.
If we zoom out, viewing the big picture since 2014, considerable effort is being made (currently) to inhibit E.On from exploring above this level (see the inset). As a result, anything now above €10.80 is liable to promote fairly fast and strong price recovery.
Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.
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