Here's why Boohoo shares are chased sharply higher

by Graeme Evans from interactive investor |

Stock markets are struggling on boohoo's results day, but the retailer is defying the gloom. 

Fast fashion is back in vogue on the London market, with well-received results from Boohoo adding to euphoria over a spectacular 2019 for shares in AIM-listed rival ASOS (LSE:ASC).

Their recent turnaround follows an uncertain couple of years for both stocks, with margin worries and increased competition raising question marks over their lofty valuations.

For Manchester-based Boohoo (LSE:BOO), which trades as, PrettyLittleThing and NastyGal, today's annual results addressed some of those fears after a strong end to its financial year boosted optimism that it can achieve a 10% operating margin going forward.

Shares climbed 4% to take this year's improvement to 35%, although the stock is still short of the 266p peak of just under two years ago. Analysts at Peel Hunt think that Boohoo - under its new CEO, the former Primark boss John Lyttle - can fill that gap and go on to reach 300p.

That's despite Boohoo's annual sales of £856.9 million being dwarfed by its current £2.5 billion market capitalisation. Until recently it had been neck-and-neck with ASOS, but its rival is now worth £3.3 billion after soaring in recent weeks despite a disappointing second quarter update.

The momentum at Boohoo reflects the exceptional performance of PrettyLittleThing, which doubled full-year revenues to £374.4 million after growing its number of active customers by 70% to five million. The trend-setting brand originated as an accessories-only website when it was founded in 2012, before Boohoo paid £3.3 million for 66% of the business in January 2017.

Its offer is clearly resonating with consumers, with high profile celebrity associations driving traffic and international expansion, particularly in the United States. PrettyLittleThing sales now appear to be on course to overtake the core brand, which grew revenues by a more modest 16% to £434.6 million from a base of seven million active customers.

Across the group, revenues for the year to February 28 were up 48% and stronger than the company's 43%-45% guidance at the time of the post-Christmas trading update. Adjusted profits rose 49% to £76.3 million, which was about 8% stronger than City forecasts.

Source: TradingView   Past performance is not a guide to future performance

The strong end to the financial year means guidance for 2020 is now towards the top end of current forecasts, with anticipated revenues growth of between 25% and 30% within reach if the recent performance continues. The company thinks an adjusted operating margin of around 10% is achievable over the medium term, having reached 9.9% last year.

Analysts will be relieved at Boohoo's margin outlook and the company's confidence to sell at full prices at a time when the clothing market is so competitive. The gross margin for last year increased to 54.7% from 52.8%, with PrettyLittleThing achieving a figure of 56.6%.

The company's focus on key international markets has also been successful, producing growth of 64% and increasing international revenues to 43% of the group total.

Substantial investments have been completed to secure warehouse capacity for growth and improve the future efficiency of its Burnley warehouse with automation. Cash flow generation has been strong, with free cash flow up 118% to £65.1 million. 

Lyttle, who spent eight years as Primark's chief operating officer, has been at the helm since mid-March. He said investment in brands and infrastructure meant the group was "well-positioned to disrupt, gain market share and capitalise on what is a truly global opportunity."

These articles are provided for information purposes only.  Occasionally, an opinion about whether to buy or sell a specific investment may be provided by third parties.  The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product, or to adopt any investment strategy as it is not provided based on an assessment of your investing knowledge and experience, your financial situation or your investment objectives. The value of your investments, and the income derived from them, may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.

Full performance can be found on the company or index summary page on the interactive investor website. Simply click on the company's or index name highlighted in the article.

get more news and expert articles direct to your inbox
Sign up for a free research account and get the latest news and discussion, and create your own Virtual Portfolio