Interactive Investor

How our five Model Portfolios fared in February 2021

Our five models have been rebalanced. We explain why and run through the fund winners and losers.

17th March 2021 10:00

by Kyle Caldwell from interactive investor

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Our five models have been rebalanced. We explain why and run through the fund winners and losers. 

Tower crane with portfolio word on chalkboard background.

It is a classic investment mistake to become too emotionally attached to a fund or investment trust that has enjoyed a run of good form.

Rebalancing (taking some profits from your winners) avoids complacency creeping into a portfolio and maintains its risk level, which is more important than chasing returns.

For our five Model Portfolios each quarter we look at how the percentage weightings have changed and decide whether to rebalance.

At the end of February, we chose to rebalance all five portfolios to the target asset allocation and fund weightings. Market volatility and the performance of individual funds meant each portfolio had diverged from its original weightings.

We also reviewed our strategic asset allocation and didn’t make any changes. Each Model Portfolio is comprised of constituents that interactive investor believes best fits the asset allocation for the portfolio’s aims. To find out more about our strategic asset allocation, examine our methodology. 

The performance of each model is measured against recognised indices that represent the asset classes that are targeted, with the exception of alternatives, for which it is difficult to find a recognised index benchmark. 

Asset class

Optimal weight

UK Equities

25%

International Developed Market Equities

40%

Emerging Market Equities

15%

Global Bonds*

10%

Alternative Investments**

10%

* with currency risk removed for a sterling-based investor.
** This includes asset classes such as property and commodities.

Passive trumps active

Our two passive portfolios had the upper hand in February. ii Low-Cost Growthreturned 1.2%, while ii Low-Cost Income was up 0.7%.

In ii Low-Cost Growththe two biggest contributors to performance were the Vanguard FTSE 250 ETF (LSE:VMID) and Vanguard Global Small-Cap Index, up 3.8% and 3.2%.

For ii Low-Cost Income, the three main performance drivers were the WisdomTree Emerging Market High Dividend Growth ETF (LSE:GGRG), Vanguard FTSE All World High Dividend Yield ETF (LSE:VHYL) and SPDR® S&P Global Dividend Aristocrats ETF (LSE:GBDV). The ETFs returned 2.7%, 2.1% and 1.5%. 

Overall, the tech wobble aside, February was a good month for global markets. As a result, the majority of our equity-focused passive picks produced positive returns. A couple of our passive picks, however, were negatively impacted by the tech sell-off and L&G Global 100 Index and WisdomTree Global Equity Dividend Growth ETF (LSE:GGRG) were down 0.7% and 1.7%. 

Income models: how they performed 

% total return (with income reinvested) as of 28 February 2021 after:
1 month3 mths6 mths1 yearSince inception*
Income portfolios
ii Active Income-0.11.99.33.611.9
ii Low-Cost Income0.71.97.51.16.1
Income benchmark2.14.212.14.18.9
Morningstar GBP Adventurous Allocation average0.93.710.314.526.1

Notes *as at 28 February 2021. Portfolio launch date (for monitoring purposes) was 1 January 2019. Data source: Morningstar Direct.

How our three models backing active funds fared 

Of our three models that invest in actively managed funds, ii Active Incomeperformed best last month, posting a small loss of 0.1%.

Funds and trusts with an income focus tend to have a greater value focus compared to growth funds, so they will, in theory, benefit if a sustained style rotation plays out in the coming months. Predictions of a resurgence in value investing have been made following positive vaccine progress. In turn, this could be positive for the global economy as businesses re-open.

Alongside the global economy accelerating, the spectre of inflation picking up has prompted plenty of column inches to be dedicated to the ‘reflation trade’.  In theory, this would be a favourable backdrop for value stocks that are more cyclical and economically sensitive, which bodes well for UK equities given the market has plenty of exposure to such stocks.

In February, our two UK constituents in ii Active Incomewere two of the three best contributors to performance: Man GLG Income and City of London (LSE:CTY), up 2.6% and 1.1%. The best performer, however, was Standard Life Private Equity (LSE:SLPE), which gained 7.9%.

Our two other models posted bigger losses, with ii Active Growth down 1.5% and ii Ethical Growth falling 1.9%.

In the case of ii Active Growth, it was Scottish Mortgage (LSE:SMT) that weighed down performance, losing 9.6%.

However, the technology-focused trust was the star of the show for the portfolio in 2020. In that year, ii Active Growth returned 22.7% and over half this return was generated by Scottish Mortgage, which was, in share price terms, up 110.5%.

Scottish Mortgage has been caught up in the technology sell-off that has taken place since mid-February, due to its focus on disruptive companies that have a technological edge over competitors.

Standard Life Private Equity was the best monthly performer in ii Active Growth, followed by Fundsmith Equity and JPMorgan Emerging Markets (LSE:JMG), up 1.1% and 0.7%.

ii Ethical Growth the worst performer in February

ii Ethical Growthis in last place in terms of monthly performance, down 1.9% in February.

There were losses across the board, with only two out of its 10 funds posting a positive return. Royal London Sustainable Leaders gained 3%, while Syncona (LSE:SYNC) was up 0.4%.

Given that such funds tend to be underweight, or completely avoid, certain cyclical sectors on ethical grounds, such as big oil and mining companies, the potential resurgence of value investing had a negative impact on performance over the month.

Since launch on 1 October 2019, ii Ethical Growth’s performance has impressed, with the model up 27.4%.

How our three growth models have performed 

% total return (with income reinvested) as of 28 February 2021, after:
1 month3 mths6 mths1 yearSince inception*
Growth portfolios
ii Active Growth-1.53.311.329.445.6
ii Ethical Growth-1.93.714.928.727.4
ii Low-Cost Growth1.24.91217.127.5
Growth benchmark13.39.812.724.2
Growth benchmark since 1 October 2019 (date ii Ethical Growth was launched)7
Morningstar GBP Adventurous Allocation average0.93.710.314.526.1

Notes *as at 28 February 2021. Portfolio launch date (for monitoring purposes) was 1 January 2019, except Ethical Growth portfolio, launched 1 October 2019. Data source: Morningstar Direct.

Our Model Portfolios have been compiled by investment experts to help investors who do not have the time or the confidence to make their own investment choices. There are a variety of financial goals they are designed to help people meet.

However, you should note that the selection of our Model Portfolios is not a ‘personal recommendation’. This means we have not assessed your investment knowledge, your financial situation (including your ability to bear losses), your investment objectives, your risk tolerance, or your sustainability preferences.

You should ensure that any investment decisions you make are suitable for your personal circumstances, and if you are unsure about the suitability of a particular investment or think you need a personal recommendation, you should speak to a suitably qualified financial adviser.

The past performance of an investment is not a reliable indicator of future results, and ii does not guarantee or predict the future performance of the Model Portfolios or the constituent investments.

Risk Warning(s)

The value of your investments may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest.

Investing in emerging markets involves different risks from developed markets, in many cases the risks are greater.

The value of international investments is affected by currency fluctuations which might reduce their value in sterling.

Disclosure(s)

Annual performance can be found on the factsheet of each fund, trust or ETF. Simply click on the asset’s name and then the performance tab.

Any changes to the Model Portfolio constituents and the rationale behind those decisions will be communicated through the Quarterly Investment Outlook.

To see a list of previous updates to Model Portfolio constituent investments, please go to the relevant Model Portfolio’s ‘Timeline’.

ii adheres to a strict code of conduct. Members of ii staff may have holdings in one or more Model Portfolios (or the constituent investments), which could create a conflict of interest. Any member of staff involved in the development of research about any financial instrument in which they have an interest are required to disclose such interest to ii. We will at all times consider whether such interest impairs the objectivity of the recommendation to add/remove a constituent investment to/from a Model Portfolio.

In addition, staff involved in compiling the Model Portfolios are subject to a personal account dealing restriction. This prevents them from placing a transaction in the specified instrument(s) for five working days before and after an investment is included or amended and made public within a Model Portfolio. This is to avoid personal interests conflicting with the interests of investors in the Model Portfolios and their constituent investments.

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