What Brexit clarity could do to the FTSE 100

by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets |

Markets are tricky to read, but our chartist thinks this will happen following a Brexit outcome.

We remain confused at the debate as to whether the UK should exit the Eurovision Song Contest.

Political manoeuvres making the stock market difficult to read, a media similarly confused as to their stance, and a distinct problem with the FTSE 100 at roughly 7,442.915 points all conspire to make this Brexit nonsense chaotic.
The only thing we're inclined to take seriously is our 7,442 level, this important point in history delineated by blue on the chart below. 
Apparently, the FTSE faces a 300 point rise should the UK market ever stumble above such a point. It's also worth pointing out the FTSE has experienced an 800 point rise so far this year, a 12.25 gain which is quite at odds with all the predictions of doom.
If the market makes it above 7,442, we anticipate a further 300 point gain for the market.
Near-term it's a different story as there's a risk of weakness establishing. Below 7,367 looks capable of reversal to an initial 7,340. If broken, our secondary calculates down at 7,313 points. 
Neither reversal ambition presents a real worry as the red uptrend is presently at 7,143 points. But to be honest, we'd have raised eyebrows should anything permit 7,313 to break as it will tend suggest weakness becoming established.

Surprisingly, if we ignore the blue trend line (presently 7,442), the immediate calculation suggests above 7,420 should generate lift to 7,458 near-term. 
If bettered, secondary is a rather more useful 7,563. We have our doubts, especially as the market appears to be giving the blue downtrend a body swerve at present, signalling we're not the only folk with coloured crayons!
We remain suspicious the index will continue to oscillate between red and blue until such time someone raised a white flag and surrenders over the Brexit issue, finally allowing direction to make itself known.

Source: Trends and Targets      Past performance is not a guide to future performance

Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.

Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang, Shareprice, or Interactive Investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea. 

These articles are provided for information purposes only. Occasionally, an opinion about whether to buy or sell a specific investment may be provided by third parties. The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation, and is not provided based on an assessment of your investing knowledge and experience, your financial situation or your investment objectives. The value of your investments, and the income derived from them, may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.

Full performance can be found on the company or index summary page on the interactive investor website. Simply click on the company's or index name highlighted in the article.

get more news and expert articles direct to your inbox
Sign up for a free research account and get the latest news and discussion, and create your own Virtual Portfolio