FTSE 100: How to tell if this bounce is genuine

The blue-chip index reversed yesterday afternoon, and it will have to do this to establish a recovery.

26th July 2019 09:06

by Alistair Strang from interactive investor

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The blue-chip index reversed yesterday afternoon, and it will have to do this to establish a recovery.

FTSE for Friday 

Probably the only thing more boring than reading an analysis about the markets is writing one. There's something about Scotland which removes ones tolerance to heat as anything above 20 tends to be regarded as "too hot".  As for the FTSE 100 index, it looks ready to wilt a bit more.

The market closed Thursday at 7,500 points, its lunge downward to 7,460 a few hours earlier proving pretty much exactly as expected from our lunchtime report.

If any miracle bounce is to be judged as genuine, the index needs to better 7,533 points as this should apparently trigger some further movement to a modest 7,547 points. If bettered, secondary is at 7,582 points. If triggered, the tightest stop looks like 7,493 points.

We're not convinced as to the recovery potentials, instead suspecting below 7,460 shall prove capable of reversal to an initial 7,400 points.

If broken, secondary calculates at 7,361 points. The tightest stop looks like it's around 7,507 points.

That's it. Have a good weekend!

Source: Trends and Targets      Past performance is not a guide to future performance

Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.

Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang, or interactive investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea. 

Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.

Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang or Interactive Investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea. 

These articles are provided for information purposes only.  Occasionally, an opinion about whether to buy or sell a specific investment may be provided by third parties.  The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product, or to adopt any investment strategy as it is not provided based on an assessment of your investing knowledge and experience, your financial situation or your investment objectives. The value of your investments, and the income derived from them, may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.

Full performance can be found on the company or index summary page on the interactive investor website. Simply click on the company's or index name highlighted in the article.

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