Interactive Investor

Sirius Minerals shares will find support here

They've almost halved since August, but our technical analyst thinks the rot should stop at this price.

4th February 2019 11:11

Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets

They've almost halved since August, but our technical analyst thinks the rot should stop at this price. 

This popular share is experiencing price flips and flops which make little sense. Needless to say, we're going to attempt to add some logic to the price swings at Sirius Minerals (LSE:SXX) as surely, post-Brexit, the UK is going to need all the fertilizer it can get?

The immediate position is a bit worrying as movement continuing below 18.5p looks like entering a cycle to 13p, a level where some sort of bounce is hoped for. 

Our secondary, should the share find a reason to close below 13p, now calculates down at an absurd looking 3.9p. For a while, we were pretty convinced this was going to experience a severe drop, but now we're less confident with the notion.

Essentially, when a share ticks every box for a drop yet the market appears to artificially sustain a price, we've no choice but to wonder what's really planned.

We suspect, in the absence of negative news, it shall not achieve the 13p level, but instead develop some sort of fascination around the 17p point, if only due to the strange series of price movements (circled) at this point a year ago. 

Alas, any bounce requires better 27p before it can be taken seriously, allowing an initial 30p but, realistically, our secondary of 33p is liable to make its presence felt eventually. 

Only with closure above 33p shall we believe a longer term 45p to become viable.

Source: Trends and Targets      Past performance is not a guide to future performance

Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.

Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang or Interactive Investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea. 

These articles are provided for information purposes only.  Occasionally, an opinion about whether to buy or sell a specific investment may be provided by third parties.  The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product, or to adopt any investment strategy as it is not provided based on an assessment of your investing knowledge and experience, your financial situation or your investment objectives. The value of your investments, and the income derived from them, may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.

Full performance can be found on the company or index summary page on the interactive investor website. Simply click on the company's or index name highlighted in the article.