Barclays shares and the path to 500p
With the high street lender having resumed its upward trajectory, independent analyst Alistair Strang refreshes his chart forecast.
8th December 2025 07:46
by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets
Barclays (LSE:BARC) has failed miserably in producing any negative news reports recently, allowing their share price to accelerate into the realms of acceptable, a truly unusual position for a retail bank.
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The lender's share price continue to exhibit some potentials where now above 445p should confirm the potential of a track to an initial 505p with our secondary, if beaten, at 517p. The proximity of these target levels tends to suggest the location of some sort of hesitation in the future, which makes sense, given a cluster of movements back in 2008 when everything was going wrong for the bank sector.
The implied suggestion from this is a bunch of folk trapped in Barclays since 2008 shall probably sell when the share price returns to their level of investment, our ‘Bail at Break Even’ (BABE) scenario causing selling pressure and the potential of price stutters in a rising cycle!
For things to go wrong for Barclays, it appears 395p can be safely designated as holding the keys to the gates of doom, a price level which if the share moves below, it has negative potentials. Below such a level suggests a real risk of reversal to an initial 377p with our secondary, if broken, at 354p. But if it all goes wrong, actual bottom if breached calculates at 272p, a level which would be difficult to escape from.
Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Important: Trends and Targets charts only incorporate official share count consolidations, ignoring rights issues where investors have a choice as to whether to participate.
Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.
Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang or Interactive Investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea.
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