We reviewed Legal & General Group (LSE:LGEN) in July, confidently predicting the potential of reversal to 193p and below. An email politely enquired if we’d like to change our stance on the share, given it “only” fell to 203p and appears to be bouncing? This thankfully gives us an excuse to present recent movements as a ‘learning opportunity’, rather than admit we got it wrong!
The ‘Learning Opportunity’ comes from what occurred once the share price bounced, as two separate and hopefully significant things took place.
Firstly, the price of L&G closed above the level of the trend break on 13 November, ending the day at 225p. This ticks a pretty important box as generally we take this as a signal everything has changed.
Secondly, and perhaps more importantly, the share price has chosen to regain the prior Red uptrend, quite literally manipulated (gapped) above the trend on 15 November, and this provides what is usually a strong indication the market has had a change of heart for the future. Despite the share price squirming around, our inclination is to take hope for the immediate future.
Currently, above 232p should prove capable of triggering a nod in the direction of 240p, with our longer-term secondary, if bettered, at a future 270p. This secondary is doubtless going to prove important, if achieved, as it has the capability of declaring a new high for the share price in 2023, especially as it dumps the price into a zone where a distant cycle to 308p can be expected.
As usual, we can provide a slightly vague converse scenario, as perhaps the market shall indulge its sense of humour, one which suggests weakness next below 224p risks promoting the idea of reversal down to 205p. If broken, our secondary calculates at 191p and hopefully a bounce.
Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.
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