Does GSK have a pill to revive its share price?

24th May 2023 07:31

by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets

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One of the country's biggest companies is under Alistair Strang's microscope today, and the independent analyst has high hopes for future recovery following last summer's slump on Zantac litigation fears.

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As it has been nearly a year since our previous GSK (LSE:GSK) review, we’d hoped for something approaching useful share price behaviour, but instead the company has managed a level of stability usually seen in the banking sector.

This, of course, is a polite way of saying “nothing much happening!” which is a surprise. Glancing at their Wiki page, they could inspire an entire franchise of movies capable of challenging ‘Pirates of the Caribbean’ or ‘Jason Bourne’.

However, speaking as someone whose daily diet includes at least three of their pharmaceutical products, GSK is obviously a brilliant, innovative, company and one which we should support. 

If GSK's share price intends to cause real trouble in the future, presently below 1,330p looks like firing the first warning shot, risking the price sinking below Red on the chart below and finding its way down to an initial 1,260p, perhaps with a short-lived bounce.

In such a scenario, we suspect 1,260 shall break, with the share price eventually finding a bottom by 1,144p and hopefully a proper rebound. There’s a major problem at the 1,144 level as any break below calculates with the potential of slippage to 770p eventually.

Currently, absolutely nothing suggests this is a threat.

We shall be more interested if the share price manages to find its way above 1,527p, breaking through the immediate Blue downtrend and giving some hope for future recovery. Such a movement works out with the potential ability to climb to an initial 1,520p with secondary, if beaten, at 1,717p. Above such a level will require us to again view the tea leaves, thanks to potentials which suggest a new all-time high is awaiting in the distant future.

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Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.

Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.

Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang or Interactive Investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea. 

These articles are provided for information purposes only.  Occasionally, an opinion about whether to buy or sell a specific investment may be provided by third parties.  The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product, or to adopt any investment strategy as it is not provided based on an assessment of your investing knowledge and experience, your financial situation or your investment objectives. The value of your investments, and the income derived from them, may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.

Full performance can be found on the company or index summary page on the interactive investor website. Simply click on the company's or index name highlighted in the article.

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