FTSE for Friday: will stock market match the hot weather?

Amid reports that Scottish Widows is to slash exposure to the UK in some of its portfolios, independent analyst Alistair Strang looks at predicted trends for our blue-chip index.

20th June 2025 07:33

by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets

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Despite the future of the FTSE 100 facing a drip feed of negative sales by Scottish Widows, amid reports that the pension fund is reducing exposure to the UK, our inclination is to remain of the belief there is an underlying uptrend on the UK market. That's because it’s completed most of our criteria for a rising cycle to an eventual (though almost unbelievable) long-term 9,225 points with our secondary, if beaten, at 9,800 points.

While these numbers almost feel absurd, if the UK index were a single share, we’d be pretty comfortable with this prediction. Near term, however, the market feels slightly nasty.

Currently, below 8,788 looks capable of triggering reversals to an initial lame 8,767 points with our secondary, if broken, at 8,724 points and an almost certain bounce. If triggered, the tightest stop loss looks like 8,835 points.

Should Friday bring market movements which echo the good weather, above 8,857 should prove capable of triggering “surprise” market recovery to an initial 8,881 points with our secondary, if beaten, at 8,907 points.

Have a good weekend.

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Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.

Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.

Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang or Interactive Investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea. 

These articles are provided for information purposes only.  Occasionally, an opinion about whether to buy or sell a specific investment may be provided by third parties.  The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product, or to adopt any investment strategy as it is not provided based on an assessment of your investing knowledge and experience, your financial situation or your investment objectives. The value of your investments, and the income derived from them, may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.

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