Happy times ahead for Lloyds Bank shares?

As an excellent year for the high street bank nears an end, independent analyst Alistair Strang looks at the odds this rally could continue into 2026.

1st December 2025 07:46

by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets

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Lloyds Bank illuminated logo Getty 600

During December, the stock market's mind may be on other (less important) things, which is strange this can happen. With the FTSE 100, or even the retail bank shares, there is a strong underlying force pointing upward.

    When we reviewed Lloyds Banking Group (LSE:LLOY) three weeks ago, we proposed a scenario where above 92.25p should promote the concept of some decent upward travel, if we trust a 16-year-old down trend.

    So far, things feel like they are going well. Above 98p should bring movement to an initial 104p and some hesitation. If bettered, our secondary for the longer term (or between Christmas and New Year) works out at 113.5p.

    Should the market decide a slowdown is in order, below 85p would now prove troubling, giving an initial ambition down at 77p with our secondary, if broken, calculating at a troubling 66p.

    The reason this would prove a worry is it gives the share price the potential of closing a session below 74p, effectively trashing all our upward potentials. But only if the market closes below 74p.

    lloy011225.jpg

    Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Important: Trends and Targets charts only incorporate official share count consolidations, ignoring rights issues where investors have a choice as to whether to participate.

    Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.

    Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang or Interactive Investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea. 

    These articles are provided for information purposes only.  Occasionally, an opinion about whether to buy or sell a specific investment may be provided by third parties.  The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product, or to adopt any investment strategy as it is not provided based on an assessment of your investing knowledge and experience, your financial situation or your investment objectives. The value of your investments, and the income derived from them, may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.

    Full performance can be found on the company or index summary page on the interactive investor website. Simply click on the company's or index name highlighted in the article.

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