Tate & Lyle shares: is the future sweet for this sugar giant?
Independent analyst Alistair Strang examines what could happen next at the mid-cap.
5th August 2025 09:36
by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets
The value of Tate & Lyle’s share price is a concern, with movements earlier this year showing (circled on the chart) that the share price was gapped below an uptrend since the market lows of 2009.
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It’s becoming vanishingly rare for uptrends since the financial crisis to be justified as concerning, but in this instance, in February the market clearly decided to pay homage to a 16-year-old trend line, forcing the price down below the red trend.
It is now the case that Tate & Lyle (LSE:TATE) needs to close above 613p to indicate that a miracle recovery is commencing. Instead, we fear the worst as it looks like the sugar giant’s share price faces a bit of a meltdown.
Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
At the time of writing, the share needs to drop below 502p, thus bringing the risk of a trigger down to an initial 375p. Should such a level break, our secondary works out at a longer-term 203p, virtually mirroring the low of 2009. While the concept seems ridiculous, the numbers insist on telling their own story.
Should Tate & Lyle decide to enact a surprise recovery, above 613 should be taken very seriously as movement to an initial 675 looks probable with our secondary, if bettered, at a future 861p.
For now, our suspicion is that this share faces some downward pain.
Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.
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