Which way are this FTSE 100 insurer’s shares heading?

Independent analyst Alistair Strang examines prospects for a blue-chip stock that plunged a month ago after posting forecast-beating half-year figures.

10th September 2025 07:53

by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets

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When we reviewed Beazley (LSE:BEZ) just a couple of months ago, we used our cover yourself final paragraph to give some potentials if the share price dropped.

Guess what? The drop triggered, the share price exactly hitting our drop target at 762p. Will it bounce?

Beazley July snippet

Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.

Visually, the immediate situation with Beazleys share price is fairly encouraging, although - perhaps oddly - we wish it hadnt actually hit our drop target exactly as were generally happier if a price bounces before a target. Such a demonstration implies some strength, but in this instance, theres a problem.

Apparently, above 800p should now bring movement to an initial 832p with our secondary, if beaten, an eventual 902p. This sort of projection, while sounding impressive, has a major problem as the share price needs above 918p to signify happy days ahead.

Beazley graph

Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.

In such an instance, we will feel able to discuss a long-term target at 1064p, but unless the market starts gapping the share price upward at the open, this seems a naive ambition.

Should things intend to go wrong, below 762 would now be problematic as it allows weakness to an initial 722p with our secondary, if broken, an eventual bottom of 637p, a target level wed hope the share actually bounces before.

Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.

Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang or Interactive Investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea. 

These articles are provided for information purposes only.  Occasionally, an opinion about whether to buy or sell a specific investment may be provided by third parties.  The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or product, or to adopt any investment strategy as it is not provided based on an assessment of your investing knowledge and experience, your financial situation or your investment objectives. The value of your investments, and the income derived from them, may go down as well as up. You may not get back all the money that you invest. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.

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