Why I’m optimistic about Lloyds Bank shares
After a summer surprise, independent analyst Alistair Strang explains why he’s feeling positive about prospects for the high street lender.
18th August 2025 08:50
by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets
One thing we didn’t anticipate in August was previously unheard of behaviour for a retail bank, triggering a gain and hitting both our initial and secondary targets!
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Puncturing our balloon just a little bit, we’d only been speculating on a 4p rise, but given the traditional lethargy of August, we didn’t expect it to happen. Instead, our expectation had been for forced reversals, giving plenty of time for the share price to tread water until the markets start getting a little serious again.
For Lloyds, now above 84.25p looks capable of triggering movement to an initial 89.2p with our longer-term secondary, if bettered, an astounding 110p.
To be completely honest, closure above 89.2p will be treated as extremely significant for the long term, an initial indication of the potential to visit share price levels not seen since 2008.
Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
To utterly cancel our optimism, Lloyds’ share price needs to close below 52p. But for now, we’re fairly happy - an unusual situation with a retail bank.
If things intend to go into slowdown mode, below 73p allows for reversal to an initial 66p with our secondary, if broken, an eventual 61p and hopefully a rebound.
Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.
Alistair Strang is a freelance contributor and not a direct employee of Interactive Investor. All correspondence is with Alistair Strang, who for these purposes is deemed a third-party supplier. Buying, selling and investing in shares is not without risk. Market and company movement will affect your performance and you may get back less than you invest. Neither Alistair Strang or Interactive Investor will be responsible for any losses that may be incurred as a result of following a trading idea.
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