Has Vistry built foundations of recovery?
Shares in this housebuilder still bear the scars of three profit warnings in late 2024, but independent analyst Alistair Strang's chart indicates upside potential.
7th January 2026 07:49
by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets
A few emails have drifted in asking the Trends and Targets team to take a look at Vistry Group (LSE:VTY) as apparently their share price is starting to become interesting. At first glance, visually this is indeed the case.
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When Bovis Homes completed the acquisition of Galliford Try at the start of 2020, with exquisite timing they chose an expansion just as everything hit the Covid fan. Vistry Group, quickly born from the buyout, appears to be a fairly successful attempt to leave the negative coverage of their previous names behind. Better still, from our perspective, there is a fairly positive take on what the future holds.
The immediate Blue downtrend dates back to 2024 and, while the share has behaved quite dreadfully, there are definite signals promising a reasonable future may lie ahead.
With the share price presently trading at 658p, we can suggest closure above 678p is necessary to produce Big Picture movement to an initial 707p with our secondary, if bettered, a pretty confident 729p.
The obvious proximity of these target levels suggests a degree of hesitation may be waiting in the future, but for now it visually doesn’t stink.
This brings us to the “Game Changer” potential for the longer term, as it’s clear the share price needs to close a session above 700p to justify a mad dash down to the local shop to buy a party popper. From our perspective, this shall prove quite a big deal, calculating with long-term ambitions echoing down from a future 900p, perhaps even 933p.
Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.
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