A safe future with NatWest shares?
With the high street bank not immune from recent stock market volatility, independent analyst Alistair Strang reveals what his charts have to say about prospects.
18th May 2026 07:46
by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets
Rather a lot of shares are doing rather a lot of nothing at the moment, the markets clearly awaiting some sort of resolution of “The Straits” issue.
NatWest Group had been doing rather well until recently, a share price movement in March giving us pause for thought. The price briefly explored below the Red uptrend since 2024 during March, creating a warning sign the Red uptrend perhaps should not be trusted. This blip is often nasty, somehow a harbinger of bad news ahead.
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In the case of NatWest, the implication is below just 550p could prove troubling, creating a trigger level to promote reversal to an initial 505p with our secondary, if broken, at 440p. Overall, such a cycle, if target levels are broken, creates the potential for a bottom around 386p eventually, a target level which even makes some visual sense.
However, while this is all laid out as “a potential”, nothing has yet triggered, and we’re hopeful for gainful potentials. Above 591p should apparently trigger recovery to an initial 628p with our secondary, if bettered, at 711p and the urgent need for an entirely new conversation about the retail bank's potentials.
We’re hopeful for a positive stance as the banks appear to be making bucket loads of money currently.
Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Important: Trends and Targets charts only incorporate official share count consolidations, ignoring rights issues where investors have a choice as to whether to participate.
Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.
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