eyeQ: top 10 high-risk US stocks
Experts at eyeQ have used AI and their own smart machine to analyse macro conditions and generate actionable trading signals. Here, it highlights the 10 richest stocks that have overshot on the upside.
12th June 2025 10:51
by Huw Roberts from eyeQ
“Our signals are crafted through macro-valuation, trend analysis, and meticulous back-testing. This combination ensures a comprehensive evaluation of an asset's value, market conditions, and historical performance.” eyeQ
- Discover: eyeQ analysis explained | eyeQ: our smart machine in action | Glossary
Screening the popular US stocks traded by ii clients through the eyeQ smart machine reveals a pronounced skew.
The 10 richest stocks relative to macro are biased to the more high-risk names.
There are some established blue chips (Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd ADR (NYSE:TSM)) in the list.
But note the proliferation of more speculative stocks relating to quantum computing, IonQ Inc Class A (NYSE:IONQ), and Rigetti Computing Inc (NASDAQ:RGTI); crypto, Riot Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:RIOT), and Robinhood Markets Inc Class A (NASDAQ:HOOD); and eVTOL, Archer Aviation Inc Class A (NYSE:ACHR) is a key player in the electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing industry.
Ticker | Fair Value Gap | Macro Relevance |
73% | +6.08% | |
59% | +6.8% | |
41% | +4.24% | |
68% | +15.99% | |
43% | +48.67% | |
72% | +25.98% | |
55% | +26.22% | |
50% | +13.76% | |
45% | +34.57% | |
55% | +56.74% |
The chart shows eyeQ's model for crypto miner Riot Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:RIOT), which captures the essence of what's going on. The macro environment has improved since the mid-April lows post-Liberation Day; but the stock has overshot, rallying above and beyond what macro fundamentals justify.
There is, of course, the argument that themes such as air taxis are secular stories that are essentially lottery tickets - bets that these are the future winners, the Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL)'s and NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) of tomorrow.
That will mean, in good times, they have a bias to trade on expensive valuations. But it doesn't make them impervious to downside risks. In any market correction, these stocks are arguably more vulnerable given they start off rich relative to the broad macro environment.
Source: eyeQ. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
Useful terminology:
Model value
Where our smart machine calculates that any stock market index, single stock or exchange-traded fund (ETF) should be priced (the fair value) given the overall macroeconomic environment.
Model (macro) relevance
How confident we are in the model value. The higher the number the better! Above 65% means the macro environment is critical, so any valuation signals carry strong weight. Below 65%, we deem that something other than macro is driving the price.
Fair Value Gap (FVG)
The difference between our model value (fair value) and where the price currently is. A positive Fair Value Gap means the security is above the model value, which we refer to as “rich”. A negative FVG means that it's cheap. The bigger the FVG, the bigger the dislocation and therefore a better entry level for trades.
Long Term model
This model looks at share prices over the last 12 months, captures the company’s relationship with growth, inflation, currency shifts, central bank policy etc and calculates our key results - model value, model relevance, Fair Value Gap.
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Disclosure
We use a combination of fundamental and technical analysis in forming our view as to the valuation and prospects of an investment. Where relevant we have set out those particular matters we think are important in the above article, but further detail can be found here.
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