Prospects for Taylor Wimpey shares
With the share price at levels rarely seen since early 2013, independent analyst Alistair Strang takes a look at what the future might hold for this popular housebuilder.
10th June 2026 07:32
by Alistair Strang from Trends and Targets
This year has seen Taylor Wimpey (LSE:TW.)'s share price slump from 115p to 75p, a drop of 35%. Obviously, high interest rates have made the idea of new mortgages quite difficult for many. Now, there's the added upward pressure on borrowing costs because of the Iran war.
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We like Taylor Wimpey, but currently its share price is a little bit terrifying. Despite the company's stonking great dividend, the share value appears to be fascinated with lemming migration.
The price currently resides in a zone where weakness below 74.9p risks triggering reversal to an initial 68.2p. Our secondary, if broken, calculates down at an absurd 47p, a number which makes no visual sense, unless we return to the era of the market crash from 2008-09.
Should Taylor Wimpey intend to dig itself out of the current hole, we’d be inclined to regard above 81.7p as a viable trigger level, one which calculates as provoking recovery to an initial 92p with our secondary, if beaten, working out at a future 105p and the need to look hard at the tea leaves again.
Source: Trends and Targets. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
Alistair Strang has led high-profile and "top secret" software projects since the late 1970s and won the original John Logie Baird Award for inventors and innovators. After the financial crash, he wanted to know "how it worked" with a view to mimicking existing trading formulas and predicting what was coming next. His results speak for themselves as he continually refines the methodology.
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