The week ahead: BT, Next, Morrisons
4th May 2018 16:24
by Lee Wild from interactive investor
Monday 7 May
May Bank Holiday - Market closed
Tuesday 8 May
Trading Statements
Magnitogorsk Iron Steel Works, Cambria Automobiles, Verona Pharma, IDE Group, Faron Pharmaceuticals, William Hill
AGM/EGM
Miton Group, Maintel, EKF Diagnostics, React Group, Totally, William Hill, ValiRx, Diploma, John Laing Group, CPP Group, Costain Group
Wednesday 9 May
Trading Statements
TUI, Imperial Brands, Compass, Provident Financial, Vertu Motors, Glenveagh Properties, Deltex Medical, One Savings Bank, Greggs, G4S
AGM/EGM
Igas Energy, Jupiter US Smaller Companies, Patagonia Gold, Ebiquity, TomCo Energy, IFG Group, Dunedin Enterprise Investment Trust, Capital & Regional, Grafton Group, Greggs, Virgin Money Holdings UK
Thursday 10 May
As is typical, it's Thursday which steals the show given a handful of big-hitters unveiling numbers, plus the Bank of England announcing its decision on interest rates at midday.
Not long ago, the hot money was on a rate hike in May, but it's highly unlikely the Monetary Policy Committee will increase borrowing costs following poor GDP data and falling inflation.
Like the rest of the market, had a great April in terms of share price performance, but they're down over 6% in the first few days of May ahead of these fourth quarter results.
It's not a new issue for BT, but investors remain fearful of a massive increase in capital expenditure on the fibre network with no incremental return. It's been a "major overhang", but broker UBS believes that we will soon get greater clarity on the issue, and that BT will be allowed to make a return on its investment.
"Overall, we see BT as too cheap on an 8.6% calendarised [equity free cash flow] for 2018E (post pension) and a 6.3% dividend yield," writes UBS analyst Polo Tang who backs the shares up to 310p, a 32% premium to the current price.
Source: interactive investor      Past performance is not a guide to future performance
After a terrible 2016,
's share price has made progress. It's well below the £80 high in 2015, true, but we've had fewer scares, and analysts think they could go higher still.Andrew Hughes at UBS keeps his estimates for these first-quarter results unchanged, arguing that the corresponding period in 2017 was poor, so presents a weak comparison, but snow may have affected the numbers.
Look for 3% growth in Brand sales, retail like-for-like sales down 7.5% and Directory up 15%.
"This should be a respectable start to the year, albeit comps do get tougher as the year progresses," says Hughes. "Our profit before tax estimate of £715 million is slightly higher than Next's central guidance."
As if all this wasn't enough, supermarket
puts its first-quarter results in the shop window. Just a week after Sainsbury's announced its tie-up with Asda, speculation is that , which already has a relationship with Morrisons, could snap up the grocer with change found down the back of its sofa!Morrisons shares have risen from 200p to 240p inside a month, but it will need some stunning numbers – unlikely – if they're to do much more unless a predator shows its hand.
Trading statements
Arrow Global, BT, On The Beach Group, Telecom Egypt, RSA Insurance, Superdry, Vesuvius, TP Icap, ITV, Barratt Developments, Coca-Cola HBC, Derwent London, Next,
AGM/EGM
Triple Point Social Housing Reit, Condor Gold, SIG, Tyman,The Renewables Infrastructure, Melrose, Gresham Technologies, X5 Retail Group, Aviva, Direct Line Insurance, Onesavings Bank, ConvaTec Group, Michelmersh Brick
Friday 11 May
Trading statements
BBA Aviation
AGM/EGM
John Wood Group, RSA Insurance
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